upd may 2023 - US public submissions Gen AI
AI Submission By Diarists of John Von Neumann and The Economist since 1951
contact chris.macrae@yahoo.co.uk Washington DC region +1 240 316 8157
When my father Norman met Von Neumann in 1951, during a year in NewYork-Princeton, a list of 4 intergenerational challenges were envisioned as most deeply determining humanity's future.
It is true that both men had been lucky to survive world war 2 (dad served as a teenage navigator allied bomber command Burma) and this may have shaped their priorities. One of these had clearly been assigned to the UN and the innovation of multilateral system design.
Three drivers that Von Neumann suggested needed to be constantly and transparently questioned as the legacy of his peer mathematicians were:
Above Zero Sum Trade Models -eg life critical knowhow can multiply value in application unlike consuming up things
Energy "which will make scientists both the most hated and wanted of experts"
By the 21st C even more exponential opportunity and threats will be mapped around intelligence connecting hardware, software and brain science.
(These priority goals can be verified with John's surviving daughter Marina if required)
Von Neumann suggested that Economist journalists blend that discipline with AI curiosity by adopting the leadership interview question: what good can peoples unite wherever they are first to access more than 100 times more tech per decade? The Economist editor Geoffrey Crowther agreed and so AI curiosity was integral to The Economist's evolution as early viewspaper of globalisation and changing livelihoods of future entrepreneurship www.normanmacrae.net
Given this 73 year viewpoint, we can hypothesise that AI can now either help solve or destroy the capacity of mother earth to host our species at the 8-10 billion beings level
Double Loop Vision -pictured at timeless co-blog economistsocial.com
To clarify ways forward for GenAI, we suggest tracking how (Generative) AI spends peoples times in 3 main ways; and how it spend their money in 3 ways.
I have spent most of my professional life on the time spent loop which we construct around education, media and what data science mathematicians are assigned to maximise societal harmony -at a foundation level these are the markets that most determine SDGs 1-5. I have monitored this arena because in 1984 I supplied the likely digital innovation timelines to the book 2025 Report co-authored with father- reviewed here by The Economist's former science editor Viscount Matt Ridley Death of a great optimist - Matt Ridley
Unfortunately, as the West transformed from mass tv world through digital webs 1 and 2 - education was not priortised over very short term commercial media. We could say that Berners Less assumed web1 was educational but by late 1990s all the top webs searchable were commercial. Then entering web2 era a handful of commercial giants sucked up all data eg MAFAG Microsoft Apple Facebook Amazon Google as well as players in their spaces which they mainly took over. This is the opposite to the entrepreneurial revolution survey Economist Xmas 1976 dad published in his 25th year of applying Neumann's questions tp Economist reports.
WHERE DOES THIS PUT US TODAY?
FIRST PLEASE CELEBRATE EXCITING NON MEDIA VERSIONS OF GENERATIVE AI. eg Deep learning Alphafold has probably advanced biotech by a million human years of time by open sourcing the proteins database.
Secondly. there are dozens of experiments going on at Stanford HAI. Adam Smith scholars might even say that those who change AI generatively around the moral sentiments exemplar of Fei-Fei Li have kept a different web2 open to that of the MAFAG. In any event, if the world is to unite in leaping forward from covid how media and tech are meta-designed in next few years leaves everything to play for.
My suggestion would be to make sure generative aiforgood catalogues are celebrated as almost a different exercise than the debate over what to do with eg chatgpt and bard. The world's biggest digital orgs have now being using chats on their own private data for a decade so bots are undeniably powerful. I would train 5th grade teachers immediately in uses teens up will need to make good. Fir example if a group like khan academy adds a plug in so that students have their owns skills dashboard and digital personal assistant that will have returned education to supporting millennial livelihoods as described in our 1984 book. see also www.ed3dao.com
My provisional understanding is any plug-in to a tool like CGPT changes what you get. Currently CGPT cuts off at Fall 2021 making plug-in choice essential for anyine who is future-oriented. I am not technically qualified to know whether some plugins can be designed to stop particular misuses
At the end of the day,. maths is being applied both to for better and for worse worlds. Over-regulation would likely slow down the for good while the illegal will continue to multiply harm
Of course, as soon as you get to more specific contexts . recursive analysis of the role of public service and regulation should be energised as http://www.ai.gov appears to have started doing.
Overall I see controversy over chatgpt as a bit of a red herring. Its not the proven reason for good AI such as aforementioned leap into proteins. And rather than reinvent the wheel, the guard rails which Stanford Hai seems to be building look smart to me.
more info? chris.macrae@yahoo.co.uk Wash DC NY Glasgow...
Richard has 30+ years in Ops of major boston and wall street financial institutions and has startup issuing new
electronic identityforgood - inter alia john has 45 years connecting society and stakeholders of MIT, PBS and new york's leading recording studio for good flatiron Soundtrack New York ; peter has over 40 years of chartered accountancy from PWC to Africa and beyond;;
cheers +1 240 316 8157 http://www.economistgames.com
Possible topics for meeting
topic 1 - do we know how to contact top people responsible for refugees?
another topic2 floated by representatives of Guterres top team (preparation for 2024 unga being millennials global forum) from march 20 is: what if UN2 resolved its funding crisis by world agreeing 1/10000 tax on all financial transactions put at about 3000 trillion dollars annually -source chatgpt4
more details::
this would have been centenary year of my father http://www.normanmacrae.net who met von neumann 73 years ago and became The Economist's neumann ai for good interviewer - i have tried in small ways mainly in Asia to understand and contribute to his work for last 48 years. This goes back to Xmas 1976 survey Entrepreneurial Revolution The Economist Xmas day 1976 year 25 of Neumann survey what goods can unite peoples with 100 times more tech per decade - s
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sadly along with political macroeconomics all adjectival entrepreneur movements since then have diluted trust in the main system transformation conflict mapping with coming globalisation, media and digitalisation my father was most concerned with
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Guterres has arranged a new points person Guy Ryder previously geneva ILO for brainstorming out of this world views like this - I expect its John and Richard who have contacts in boston and amongst mathematicans and women empowerment designers who could come up with a few concepts to that what if - how does identity for good come into that . WE also have quite a lot of connections through hong kong and some in singapore if relevant. These places have different way of gamifying and designing the metaverse which might be connected to crypto for good
While there are a handful of NY people like Guy Ryder who are identifiable in guterres top team - I myself dont have the ability to get a meeting with them. However it could be timely because if Banga previously Indian leader of Mastercard is appointed to the world bank having something team guterres can discuss with Banga would be valuable
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chatgpt4- Yes, the total value of all financial transactions around the world in a year is much larger than the value of transactions that occur on stock exchanges. Financial transactions include not only equity trades but also other types of transactions such as bond trading, currency trading, and derivatives trading, among others. According to a report by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), the total value of financial transactions worldwide in 2020 was estimated to be approximately $2,914 trillion USD, which is more than 28 times the value of transactions that occurred on global stock exchanges in the same year. It's worth noting that this figure includes both exchange-traded and over-the-counter (OTC) transactions.
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